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Urban influence on convective precipitation in the Paris region: Hectometric ensemble simulations in a case study

JOURNAL ARTICLE published 26 May 2024 in Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society

Authors: Arnaud Forster | Clotilde Augros | Valéry Masson

Improvements in the spread–skill relationship of precipitation in a convective‐scale ensemble through blending

JOURNAL ARTICLE published 24 May 2024 in Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society

Authors: Adam Gainford | Suzanne L. Gray | Thomas H. A. Frame | Aurore N. Porson | Marco Milan

Convergence of ensemble forecast distributions in weak and strong forcing convective weather regimes

JOURNAL ARTICLE published 23 May 2024 in Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society

Research funded by Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft (SFB/TR165)

Authors: Kirsten I. Tempest | George C. Craig | Matjaž Puh | Christian Keil

The Power of Characters: Evaluating Machine Learning-Modified Bayesian Improved Surname Geocoding Inference of Race in Redistricting

JOURNAL ARTICLE published 22 May 2024 in State Politics & Policy Quarterly

Authors: John A. Curiel | Kevin DeLuca

Extending a dry‐environment convection parameterization to couple with moist turbulence and a baseline evaluation in the GRIST model

JOURNAL ARTICLE published 20 May 2024 in Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society

Research funded by National Natural Science Foundation of China (42205160)

Authors: Xiaohan Li | Wenchao Chu | Yi Zhang | Yiming Wang

Generating synthetic rainfall fields by R‐vine copulas applied to seamless probabilistic predictions

JOURNAL ARTICLE published 20 May 2024 in Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society

Authors: Peter Schaumann | Martin Rempel | Ulrich Blahak | Volker Schmidt

Post‐processing output from ensembles with and without parametrised convection, to create accurate, blended, high‐fidelity rainfall forecasts

JOURNAL ARTICLE published 18 May 2024 in Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society

Authors: Estíbaliz Gascón | Andrea Montani | Tim D. Hewson

Sampling and misspecification errors in the estimation of observation‐error covariance matrices using observation‐minus‐background and observation‐minus‐analysis statistics

JOURNAL ARTICLE published 18 May 2024 in Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society

Authors: Guannan Hu | Sarah L. Dance

Optimization of CMIP6 models for simulation of summer monsoon rainfall over India by analysis of variance

JOURNAL ARTICLE published 18 May 2024 in Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society

Authors: Akshay Kulkarni | P. V. S. Raju | Raghavendra Ashrit | Archana Sagalgile | Bhupendra Bahadur Singh | Jagdish Prasad

Assessment of short‐range forecast error atmosphere–ocean cross‐correlations from the Met Office coupled numerical weather prediction system

JOURNAL ARTICLE published 17 May 2024 in Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society

Research funded by National Centre for Earth Observation (PR140015) | Newton Fund (P107915)

Authors: Azin Wright | Amos S. Lawless | Nancy K. Nichols | Daniel J. Lea | Matthew J. Martin

Tailoring data assimilation to discontinuous Galerkin models

JOURNAL ARTICLE published 17 May 2024 in Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society

Authors: Ivo Pasmans | Yumeng Chen | Alberto Carrassi | Chris K. R. T. Jones

Urban boundary‐layer flows in complex terrain: Dynamic interactions during a hot and dry summer season in Phoenix, Arizona

JOURNAL ARTICLE published 17 May 2024 in Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society

Authors: A. Brandi | A. Martilli | F. Salamanca | M. Georgescu

A global observing‐system simulation experiment for the EPS–Sterna microwave constellation

JOURNAL ARTICLE published 16 May 2024 in Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society

Research funded by European Organization for the Exploitation of Meteorological Satellites (EUM/COS/LET/21/12484)

Authors: Louis Rivoire | Robin Marty | Thomas Carrel‐Billiard | Philippe Chambon | Nadia Fourrié | Olivier Audouin | Maud Martet | Camille Birman | Christophe Accadia | Jörg Ackermann

Improving forecasts of precipitation extremes over northern and central Italy using machine learning

JOURNAL ARTICLE published 15 May 2024 in Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society

Authors: Federico Grazzini | Joshua Dorrington | Christian M. Grams | George C. Craig | Linus Magnusson | Frederic Vitart

Effects of surface moisture flux on the formation and evolution of cold fog over complex terrain with large‐eddy simulation

JOURNAL ARTICLE published 12 May 2024 in Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society

Research funded by Center for High Performance Computing (Award#2049100)

Authors: Xin Li | Zhaoxia Pu

Impact of sea spray‐mediated heat fluxes on polar low development

JOURNAL ARTICLE published 9 May 2024 in Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society

Authors: Ting Lin | Thomas Spengler | Anna Rutgersson | Lichuan Wu

On‐line machine‐learning forecast uncertainty estimation for sequential data assimilation

JOURNAL ARTICLE published 9 May 2024 in Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society

Research funded by Fondo para la Investigación Científica y Tecnológica (PICT‐2021‐CAT‐I‐130,PICT‐2233‐2017,PICT‐SERIEA‐01168) | Secretaria de Ciencia y Tecnica, Universidad de Buenos Aires (UBACyT‐20020170100504)

Authors: Maximiliano A. Sacco | Manuel Pulido | Juan J. Ruiz | Pierre Tandeo

Arctic amplification‐induced intensification of planetary wave modulational instability: A simplified theory of enhanced large‐scale waviness

JOURNAL ARTICLE published 8 May 2024 in Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society

Research funded by National Natural Science Foundation of China (42150204,42288101,41975068) | China Postdoctoral Science Foundation (BX20230045,2023M730279)

Authors: Dehai Luo | Binhe Luo | Wenqi Zhang | Wenqin Zhuo | Ian Simmonds | Yao Yao

Factors influencing subseasonal predictability of northern Eurasian cold spells

JOURNAL ARTICLE published 8 May 2024 in Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society

Research funded by Research Council of Finland (355792)

Authors: Irina Statnaia | Alexey Karpechko

Assessment for operational assimilation of horizontal line of sight winds from the European Space Agency's Aeolus at the Met Office

JOURNAL ARTICLE published 8 May 2024 in Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society

Authors: Gemma Halloran | Mary Forsythe